Hot spot tracking

  • Powell avoided giving guidance on a September rate cut, stating that the current monetary policy stance is in a favorable position, emphasizing that the inflation target is more distant than employment and relying on data, with a reasonable speculation that the impact of tariffs on inflation is temporary. This news is negative for the dollar.
  • The August 1 deadline will not be extended. Starting from August 1, India will pay a 25% tariff and will be fined for purchasing military equipment and energy from Russia. This news is bullish for crude oil.
  • Trump announced that starting August 1st, a 50% tariff will be imposed on imported semi-finished copper products, but the measure does not include copper ore or cathode copper. This news is bearish for copper prices.

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